Claude Opus 4.6 just broke the METR graph. The benchmark designed to track progress towards hard AI takeoff can’t keep up.

This is how a sycophantic AI model and a vulnerable human can engage in an escalating feedback loop that ends in psychosis.

That virus doubled for two years and then stopped. AI has been doubling for decades, and the doubling time itself is shrinking.

A year of AI milestones in a month, and progress is only accelerating.

I’ve been obsessed with AI for almost 14 years. Over that time, I’ve come to believe there’s a high probability that independent AI systems more capable than humans will be built soon - and that this poses an existential risk to every person alive.

AI psychosis is the canary. The population-level shift in human belief is the thing that is actually wrong.

A predictive coding framework for understanding how sycophantic AI drives psychosis - and two testable predictions.

A Welsh council legally owns a hard drive containing £750 million in Bitcoin - but refuses to look for it. Four failures of institutional reasoning explain why.

Humanity can rise to the challenge, and we’ve done so many times before. Our story need not end in catastrophe.

Just as deserving as the patients in my emergency department, are the competing causes in the charity sphere. In a world of charities, how do we decide where to invest our efforts?